Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 25.715143 29.219039 33.049495 37.551687 42.703727 48.421353 55.256185
2025-01-19 20.059762 24.704037 30.223689 37.284302 46.101327 56.781070 70.748189
2025-01-26 17.106601 22.483623 29.322352 38.697475 51.278384 67.665640 90.773544
2025-02-02 15.200210 21.096554 29.035060 40.574139 57.036887 79.856992 114.196715
2025-02-09 13.378623 19.451002 28.034133 41.154483 60.890830 89.768796 135.766964
2025-02-16 11.586187 17.537612 26.313385 40.331891 62.422814 96.325692 153.123207
2025-02-23 10.187929 15.989388 24.876105 39.648189 63.930170 102.852595 171.146460
2025-03-02 9.075490 14.722024 23.678132 39.120016 65.510502 109.551285 190.223946
2025-03-09 8.244724 13.792666 22.883391 39.103870 67.858671 117.704585 212.813995
2025-03-16 7.512666 12.932927 22.087574 38.953674 69.896975 125.489694 235.733668
2025-03-23 7.138223 12.636901 22.203480 40.391736 74.908500 139.153083 271.524647
2025-03-30 6.654211 12.088181 21.804952 40.825787 78.076489 149.735978 302.777298
2025-04-06 5.997086 11.172432 20.678065 39.825646 78.502929 155.368338 325.461865
2025-04-13 5.479794 10.463278 19.859787 39.326850 79.865984 163.063641 353.766830
2025-04-20 5.243355 10.266699 19.995801 40.741055 85.317026 179.883965 404.695819
2025-04-27 5.082396 10.199365 20.373703 42.691541 92.151066 200.576257 467.832719
2025-05-04 4.796127 9.845344 20.131225 43.292487 96.112782 215.491389 519.858696
2025-05-11 4.400788 9.222054 19.263032 42.420876 96.638651 222.659639 554.133714
2025-05-18 4.059218 8.677494 18.503581 41.698451 97.407360 230.481767 591.341898
2025-05-25 3.764781 8.205141 17.850916 41.141000 98.489897 239.193729 632.329312
2025-06-01 3.539120 7.862427 17.449359 41.123790 100.884694 251.475051 685.039794
2025-06-08 3.322900 7.519287 17.011191 40.965353 102.902651 263.073064 737.869476
2025-06-15 3.236992 7.468524 17.242481 42.481706 109.426223 287.380446 831.567489